Early Predictions for Olympics 2020 is out and the USA is the clear winners there. Gracenote Sports forecasted USA’s clear domination in total and gold medals tally at Olympics 2020. If the Olympics were to start now, it’s hard to see much competition for the US National team.
As per Simon Gleave, the sports analysts for Gracenote sports, USA would go on to win 126 medals at the global pinnacle of sports. According to Gleave’s model, USA would grab 51 gold, 34 silver and 41 bronze.
China comes a distant second with 38 golds to finish with 81 medals. They might perform better after Mayweather confirmed to become their boxing team advisor.
Japan ranked third on Olympics 2020 forecast
The host nation Japan is expected to grab the third spot with 29 golds and 67 overall medals. That’s indeed a strong expectation from Japan who are minors looking at USA and China’s population. The home advantage nonetheless, always works for the host nation.
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Spain sprung a surprise with their medal tally back in 1992 Olympics with home advantage. China and Britain also benefited from Beijing 2008 and London 2012 Olympics.
The Tokyo Olympics 2020 feature some new teams in the Top 10 as per forecast. Russia(65), Britain (43), Australia (43), France (41), Germany (38), Netherlands (34), and Italy (32) are next on the list.
Gleave’s prediction history is on point
Olympics 2020 might just be another leaf in Gleave’s rich history of correct predictions. This is the fifth time he has dolled out a model like this.
The last time in Rio Olympics 2016, Gleave predicted as much as 8 of the top 10 countries correctly. His Top 3 predictions were accurate too and that’s quite an achievement looking at the hot competitors in Olympics.
Moreover in Winter Olympics 2018, he correctly predicted Norway to grab a record medal tally. They featured at the top of the pile ahead of Germany as per his forecast.
Come Olympics 2020, Gleave’s might become one of the best predictors ever. Russia stands in his way though since the IAAF has banned Russian Athletics Federation. Most of the athletes are in trouble due to a doping scandal. If they don’t manage to show up, permutations might change.